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Will we close above 23500 today? (19th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.  2. Asian markets are higher right now. 3. Right now , Dow futures are higher. 4. U.S VIX crashed 4% Yesterday.  5. Gift Nifty is indicating a gap up of 40-50 points. 6. The next big trigger for our Markets is the State Elections.  7. It has the capability to move the markets by 2-3% 8. Markets have been stable for last 2-3 trading sessions. 9. Largecap stocks also look like they are stabilizing right now. 10. Reliance seems to have made a short term bottom near 1250. 11. I have sold 1200 PE of Reliance for November expiry. 12. Will do adjustments only if it closes below 1250. 13. Otherwise will let the profits run. 14. Yesterday's low of 23350 around is now a good support to work with. 15. Tomorrow is a local holiday due to voting. 16. As Markets are oversold , traders wouldn't like to carry their shorts before a big event. 17. Expect some short covering rally in the 2nd half today. 18. This is a sell on rally Market currentl
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Will we hold 200 DMA ? (18th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed lower on Friday. 2. Asian markets are mixed right now. 3. There was some profit booking after a bug rally in U.S Markets. 4. U.S VIX crossed 15 on Friday. 5. Gift Nifty is indicating a gap down of 80-100 points. 6. The next big trigger for our Markets is the Maharashtra state elections. 7. It has the capability to move the markets by 2-3% 8. Over the weekend there were reports floating around that CLSA has increased India allocation. 9. Goldman Sachs has also in an interview said they are Bullish on India. 10. The issue here is we should not get overexcited immediately.  11. They might keep selling for a while even after such statements. 12. Focus on price action and levels to decide trading strategies. 13. Do not decide based on such statements. 14. Majority of the largecaps are already down 20-30% from the peak  15. All these are providing a good opportunity to enter. 16. A reversal is due anytime in the markets as we are at highly oversold levels. 1

Nifty tests 200 DMA !! (14th Nov 2024)

1. U.S Markets closed mixed Yesterday.  2. Asian markets are mixed right now. 3. U.S Futures are mixed. 4. The post Election rally has finally settled in U.S 5. U.S VIX is now below 14. 6. U.S VIX crashed 5% Yesterday. 6. Last 2 trading sessions , we have had brutal correction in our Markets. 7. Nifty has now officially corrected 10% from it's peak. 8. This is the first 10% correction after March 23. 9. This correction was very much due. 10. The Valuations had gone berserk. 11. Nifty had finally broken its big support level of 23800. 12. We might have a small pullback towards 23800 now as a bounce from 200 DMA. 13. If we do not bottom out here then we may fall another 1-2% on Indices. 14. Markets have fallen one way without stopping. 15. So a pullback might be due and then we decide from there the future course of action. 16. Bank Nifty which was the outperformer all this while also broke its support level of 51k Yesterday. 17. Now Bank Nifty is also at its final suppor

23800 Make or break (13th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed lower Yesterday.  2. Asian markets are mixed right now. 3. U.S Futures are mixed. 4. The post Election rally has finally settled in U.S 5. U.S VIX is now below 14. 6. After the August first week crash , where Yen depreciated and we fell 1000 points in 2 days , U.S Markets are up 20% from their lows. 7. We are again at the same level as August.  8. This has been a huge underperformance by us. 9. FII selling is the thing everyone talks about but that's just an output. 10. The main reason for all this is falling earnings , high Inflation etc. 11. If markets keeps going up ignoring all these factors , the crash would have been even more severe. 12. Nifty closed below 24k yesterday which is not good. 13. There was a sudden sell off after 1 pm yesterday.  14. It was so severe that Nifty fell 400 points from day high. 15. All the banking stocks were targeted yesterday.  16. 23750-23800 is a strong support zone , it should be held on if we expect stability

Signs of Stability in Largecaps? (12th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.  2. Asian markets are mixed right now. 3. S&P 500 has crossed 6000. 4. Bitcoin has made a new High of 90k. 5. The post election Trump rally has not stopped yet. 6. Tesla us up 25% since the Election results date. 7. This has been an all round rally in the U.S Markets. 8. Also there has been rally In all the Global Markets. 9. Our Markets are currently stabilizing wrt large caps.  10. Yesterday there was a 300 point recovery from 24000. 11. The recovery was sold into & the markets closed flat. 12. As long as 24k holds , markets would try to make a bounce towards 24500. 13. Now markets would focus on the upcoming quarter results and not on the quarter that had went by. 14. Reliance is the biggest disappointment in this fall. 15. Reliance had made a High of 3200 and now its at 2500 (adjusting 1:1 bonus) 16. This is a 20% fall from highs. 17. 20% fall from highs is officially termed as a bear market. 18. Banks are outperforming Ni

Weakness to Continue? (11th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.  2. Asian markets are mixed right now. 3. S&P 500 has crossed 6000. 4. Bitcoin has made a new High of 81000 5. All the Cryptos are rallying big 6. There is Greenery everywhere in the World Markets except ours. 7. U.S Futures are higher right now. 8. U.S VIX is now close to 14. 9. India VIX has also fallen drastically from 18 to 14. 10. This market we are in currently is a trapping market. 11. When you feel it will go up it reverses and vice versa. 12. 23800 to 24500 is the range for Nifty currently. 13. Within this range markets have been trading with huge Volatility  14. If I look at the earnings season , largecaps have declared poor results compared to mid and small caps. 15. Mid & Small cap companies comparatively have declared better results. 16. Option premiums are quite good in the current environment.  17. There are only 12 trading sessions left for expiry as we have 2 more holidays in November.  18. This is a Non direc

FED Rate Cut !! (8th Nov 24)

1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.  2. Asian markets are higher. right now. 3. U.S Futures are higher. 4. Yesterday markets were again Volatile. 5. Nifty fell 300 points from the top and was just flat throughout. 6. FII selling hasn't stopped. 7. Everyday they are selling close to 5000 crore. 8. U.S Markets hit another record high yesterday.  9. Our Markets keep going lower. 10. This divergence cannot continue for long. 11. Expect limited downside now. 12. Many largecap stocks are already down 20% from peak. 13. Valuations have become quite attractive now. 14. This Volatility might continue for some time. 15. 23800 to 24500 is the range. 16. Nifty is trading violently within this band. 17. Bank Nifty is even more Volatile with 800 points move on daily basis. 18. Bank Nifty range is 51000 to 52500. 19.Nifty might trade between 24100 to 24500 today. 20.  stockmarketadvisory.in