- US markets closed 4% weak on Friday & Asian markets are mostly weak.
- Markets are falling despite Stimulus measures announced by their Countries.
- SGX Nifty is 2% weak & trading near 8450 as of now.
- Meanwhile , the Corona Virus fears aren't Settling down. More than 1.2 lakh positive cases reported in U.S .
- Testing Mechanism is slow in India compared to U.S .Positive cases are likely to increase in the coming weeks.
- Expect the Broader range to continue between 7500 to 9500. Expect Markets to trade in this range unless there is any Incremental news.
- If 7500 on Nifty is breached, then markets would go much lower.
- Last Bounce back on Nifty was from 8500 to 10100 around 18-20% & it got sold off Immediately in next 4 trading sessions.
- This time around we have a Bounce back from 7500 levels & we made a high of 9100 on Nifty.
- I think the Pullback rally is likely to end & has weak legs to gain further Momentum.
- We should witness another round of selling in April Series.
- Meanwhile , RBI has done a very good job by coming 2.7 Trillion $ Liquidity package. This was much better than my Expectation.
- Rate cut was expected & RBI delivered.
- Futures Contracts on Nifty & Bank Nifty are Trading in Discount. This shows that Bias is more inclined towards the downside.
- This week expiry, we have only 3 more trading sessions. Thursday is a holiday on Account of Ram Navmi.
- So , it's a good time to start selling Options as VIX is high and also Premiums are also quite high.
- I would be mostly looking at "Short Straddles" for this Week Expiry as Markets are likely to move in a range.
- Holding Stock Option Trades as Mentioned in the Earlier Blog for Banks.
- Selling after a 2% gap down Opening does not excite me. I would be looking for Bounce /rallies on Intraday to sell into.
- When I say I would be looking for Bounce to sell into I mean that I would be taking only 50% of my Positions firstly & rest 50% if market rallies more. This lowers my cost.
- Financials is going to be the most effected sector in this Turmoil so Expect Bank Nifty to Underperform.
- For Traders who are new & lack Conviction it's better to stay out in such Markets because the Movements are quite high & quick.
- Trade only when you have more than 90% Conviction.
- stockmarketadvisory.in
1. U.S Markets closed lower YESTERDAY. 2. All the indices closed lower. 3. Right now , Dow Futures are higher. 4. Asian Markets are all higher. 5. All the Global Markets are Positive right now. 6. Last 3 days , there has been a flash crash in all the Global Markets. 7. There was a Mayhem specially in the Japanese Markets. 8. Japan had hiked the interest rate after 15 long years due to which their currency depreciated and it caused a 20,% fall in Japanese markets. 9. There are warnings of U.S recession post the Jobs data report. 10. Israel - Iran war has been taken escalation. 11. All these news have spooked the Global Markets. 12. U.S VIX jumped 400% in last 4 trading sessions. 13. India VIX jumped 50% Yesterday. 14. Although it doesn't impact us at all , it's the nature of markets to react on news. 15. Right now , Nikkei the Japanese index has opened positive 16. 24000-23850 is a very strong and final support. 17. I expect yesterday's low...
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