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Showing posts from June, 2020

Pre - Market Analysis (30th June 2020)

U.S Markets closed Positive Yesterday. Asian Markets are also Mixed with a Positive Bias. SGX Nifty is up 50 Points. We are in a Market with no follow through. This is a Swinging Market. Swinging Market is one in which Market goes to the top end of range or bottom end of the Range. People Start Prediciting a big Breakout or Breakdown but Market reverses immediately. This is a Market to trade on reversals. This is not a Market to trade for follow Through. PM Modi to Address the Nation at 4 pm today. When MODIJI comes at 8 pm , there is a big news. When MODIJI comes at Morning there is a bit of Encouragement speech from their side. Now the time is 4 pm , my Gut feeling is MODIJI would be speaking about Corona Virus & Lockdown. But most importantly , speaking about Boycotting China. Large Number of Youths use China Apps so the Gut feeling is a talk on that front. FII's were net sellers Yesterday but DII's are supporting our Markets. DII's were net Buyers Yester...

Pre - Market Analysis (29th June 2020)

U.S Markets closed 3% lower on Friday. Asian Markets are Mixed with a Slight Negative Bias. SGX Nifty is down 60 Points and Trading near 10270 as of now. Reason for a big Fall in U.S Markets was because the FED placed restrictions on buy back for U.S Companies. All the Banks fell in U.S Markets. Nifty Futures & Bank Nifty Futures are Trading at Big Discounts which Indicates big short positions been created. Markets are highly Volatile and Trading with naked options is a suicide in this kind of Market. Important Data to look at this Thursday is the U.S Jobs Data. FII's were net sellers on Friday and DII's were net Buyers. FII's have big Short Positions in Stocks , more than 70% short Positions but have 41% Long Positions in Indices. Given an ITC Earnings Trade on my WhatsApp and holding it till now. ITC results were average and not that Great. Let's see how the Stock performs today. 10,000 is going to be a strong support on Nifty and 10500 a strong Resist...

In the Money & Out of the Money Options

In options trading, moneyness is the relationship of the current price of the underlying asset to the strike price of a call or put option contract written on that asset.  With options trading, the difference between ‘in the money’ and ‘out of the money’ is entirely based on the relationship between the strike price to the current market price of the underlying stock, bond, or commodity, and the magnitude of this position is known as moneyness. There are three types of classifications for the moneyness of an option contract: An option is ‘in the money’ if the contract would have intrinsic value if it were exercised today.  An option is ‘out of the money’ if the contract would have zero intrinsic value if it were exercised today.  An option is said to be ‘at the money’ if the current strike price is exactly the same as the current market price.   A call option is in the money if the strike price is more than the current price of the asset it is writte...

Pre - Market Report (26th June 2020)

U.S Markets closed a percent higher Yesterday. Asian Markets are Mixed with a Positive Bias. SGX Nifty is Trading around 10290. Yesterday our Markets were highly Volatile. If you see the Markets after closing you might see Nifty fell just by 16 Points and think what was so Volatile. But during the day the Swings it gave were Dangerous. I've been doing Expiry Trades for about 3 Years now and trust me Yesterday was the most Difficult "Question Paper" in CA Students language. Every Traders Stoplosses got Triggered Yesterday. Those who managed high MTM loss at one point and had a strong Conviction made money. I mentioned in my Blog Yesterday that I am not Expecting Nifty to fall further as we already fell on Wednesday. ITC was the star of the show Yesterday. It closed more than 5% higher Yesterday and Supported our Markets. After such a Dangerous day Yesterday I need some break so I will Personally not be trading today and will be clearing the past day workings wh...

My Trading Profit & Loss Report for the Month of June ( Hedge Trading )

I post many Option Hedging Strategies & Trades taken on my daily Blogs. Many of my Followers want to know how it can be done & how much return can it offer. Also sharing this to show that whatever I suggest to you on the Blogs I trade the same. I have many Accounts for Trading & I Personally handle Accounts of Clients as well but this Account ( On my Mothers Name) is primarily used for Option Selling & Hedging Strategies & I will be sharing the P&L of this Accounts only on a Frequent Basis. Capital used - 7 Lakhs Returns Generated - ₹185000- ( After Brokerage and Taxes)  Time Frame - 3 Weeks (Was Unwell last Week so not Traded Actively in this Account) % Return Generated - 26.4% ( Approximately) Risk Taken - Minimum. ( As your Capital increases your risk taking ability decreases) However for this Week risk taken was high as Markets were highly Volatile. Was Sitting on a 1 Lakh MTM Loss today at one point but ended in profit. Withdrawn 3L and adde...

Pre - Market Analysis (25th June 2020)

U.S Markets closed 3% lower Yesterday. Asian Markets are all in Red. Florida reported huge increase in Corona Virus Cases and also decrease in World Growth rate. SGX Nifty is trading below 10200. Yesterday Luckily I havent sold out options but was sitting at Big MTM loss. Covered some by selling Call Options. Today Markets opening at gap down so it will be a tough day to manage. Expecting our Markets not to Underperform in line with Global Markets. ICICI Bank is planning to raise 3 Billion Dollars. It was down 7% Yesterday because of this and dragged our Markets lower. Bank Nifty highly Underperformed Yesterday and the reason is ICICI Bank. Markets were highly Volatile Yesterday & fell 200 points in less than 2 hours. Today also Expecting Markets to be very Volatile. I dont expect Markets to be very Bearish like Yesterday. But nobody knows what's going to happen. If U.S futures support markets then we can expect major recovery. This Expiry is going to be very Intere...

Pre - Market Analysis (24th June 2020)

This is our Official Instagram Account now so request Everyone to follow it to stay Updated with the Market news.☝️ US markets ended higher Yesterday. Nasdaq hit Fresh all time highs. Asian Markets are mostly positive. SGX Nifty is Trading flat around 10470. Yesterday I mentioned that if 10400 gets taken out 10500 will be Witnessed immediately. Last hour our Markets have given a big rally. Bank Nifty has given a Big Breakout above 22000. Market is firing on all Cylinders. Previously , everybody used to mention markets have Rallied because of Reliance , ICICi Bank and few selected stocks. But now even without help of Reliance markets are Rallying. The rally is so strong that Yesterday Markets gave you dip for some few seconds and then immediately races away. There are some people saying Nifty has Rallied so much now let's short it the Markets wont rally much. Trust me they will all be taken to cleaners. Once 10500 gets taken out the Targets for Nifty are 10700-11000 as w...

Pre - Market Analysis (23rd June 2020)

U.S Markets Ended 0.5% higher Yesterday , Mostly Flat. Asian Markets are Trading Mixed. SGX Nifty is Trading 40 Points higher near 10340 now. U.S Suspends HIB Vivas entering into their Country so this might be a Negative news for the IT Stocks. Yesterday in the Pre - Open SGX Nifty was up by 40 Points and was trading near 10230. Surprisingly , our Markets opened near 10370. This was highly Unexpected & Unplanned. Yesterday for the Complete day our Markets kept Consolidating & Trading within a Range. On days like these do not chase the Gap up Openings. The Trend is so Positive for our Markets that every dip is being bought into. Yesterday Nifty was Trading in red for a Maximum of 5 Minutes but that dip was also bought into immediately. This is a clear rising Market. Strong Momentum towards Upside and every dip is being entered into. Usually as per my Experience , Market gives a big Move at the time of Monthly Expiry. Last 2 months in the last week of Expiry , Markets...

Pre - Market Analysis ( 22nd June 2020)

U.S Markets closed Flat on Friday. Asian Markets are Mixed with a Slightly Positive Bias. SGX Nifty is down 50 Points and Trading near 10150. On Friday , Large Cap Heavyweights performed Exceedingly well. Reliance alone contributed 65-70 Points rally on Nifty. Now , Reliance has doubled from the March lows in less than 3 Months. This is a Phenomenal rally in such a LargeCap stock like Reliance. This Weekend , Glenmark announced that it has come up with a Corona Virus Testing kit etc. Everybody is talking about Glenmark. Most of the Question in my Q&A session were on Glenmark Pharma. India China Border issue has been Stabilised now. Do not expect it to take the Center Stage in Markets now. On Friday , Honourable PM Modi spoke about our Economy. This led to more rally in our Markets. Large Cap Heavyweights are looking very Bullish on Charts and I expect the rally to continue further. The pace of rally might decrease now. Government has increased the prices of Petrol conse...

The way to Think being a Trader

Here are some of the most common questions I get as a trader. What can I buy now to make a lot of money? How can I make a lot of money in the markets? What is the best stock to buy now that will definitely go higher? Will the market go higher? Will the market keep going down? When will the market bounce? Should I keep holding or sell the stock I have? Why did the stock market crash? Is now a good time to buy the dip in price? Is this the bottom? That’s not how it works that’s not how any of this works. To believe these are answerable questions is to believe in psychics and fortune tellers. No one knows the future, not in the stock market or any other endeavor. These are not even the right questions to ask. Sports and elections are much simpler than the stock market and how many experts can predict them regularly?  The complexity of the financial markets with all the different buyers, sellers, government interventions, weather, natural disasters, health emergencies, bubb...

Pre - Market Analysis (19th June 2020)

US markets ended on a Flat Note Yesterday. Asian Markets are Mostly Mixed with a Negative Bias. SGX Nifty is down 50 Points and Trading near 10030. Yesterday the Markets have given a strong move over 10000 levels. This was Mainly due to Short Covering. Due to Indo - China Disputes many people have anticipated a War like Situation and shorted the Markets. Also PM Modi spoke about the Economy Yesterday which caused a Positive sentiment. Yesterday the Resistance of 10000 got taken away and we Witnessed a huge short covering. Yesterday I Sold 10050 Call Option at ₹7. I exited with a loss of 2-3rs here as Markets gave a big Breakout. If I had not exited and kept this for 2 Minutes more it would have eaten away my Entire profits. Such was the Momentum of Markets Yesterday. AGR Case has also been Deferred to July by the Supreme Court. FII's were net sellers Yesterday but not by much. However DII's have come to the rescue and were net Buyers Yesterday. The pace of FII selli...

My Trading Profit & Loss Report (Hedge Trading)

I post many Option Hedging Strategies & Trades taken on my daily Blogs. Many of my Followers want to know how it can be done & how much return can it offer. Also sharing this to show that whatever I suggest to you on the Blogs I trade the same. I have many Accounts for Trading & I Personally handle Accounts of Clients as well but this Account ( On my Mothers Name) is primarily used for Option Selling & Hedging Strategies & I will be sharing the P&L of this Accounts only on a Frequent Basis. Capital used - 7 Lakhs Returns Generated - ₹93,000- ( After Brokerage and Taxes)  Time Frame - 2 Weeks (Was Unwell last Week so not Traded Actively in this Account) % Return Generated - 13.3% Risk Taken - Minimum. ( As your Capital increases your risk taking ability decreases) Withdrawn 3L and added it to Corporate Account due to Heavy Volatility and Nifty Trading doesn't Require high margin as Compared to Bank Nifty. Will add back the same next Week in this A...

Pre - Market Analysis (18th June 2020)

US markets ended on a Flat Note Yesterday. Asian Markets are Mostly Mixed. SGX Nifty is down 50 Points and Trading near 9800. Moratorium Period Interest Deferment Verdict for the Banks has been Deferred by the Supreme Court to August Yesterday. Now the 2 Major issues for our Markets are. AGR due Case & Indo - China Border Tensions. AGR Verdict was also deferred last week and Expectations are it will be announced Today. Indo - China Border issues would not be heated up according to me. Both the Countries cannot afford a War in this Situation. According to me , the issue will be solved by sitting & talking between smart minds. Even the Clash at the Border didn't involve any weapons. It was just an Unplanned fight which had become a bit Serious that Unexpected. FII's were net Sellers again Yesterday but DII's have come to the Rescue. Expecting Markets to be highly Volatile today on the back of heavy News Flows. 9700 to 9950 looks to be the range for today. ...

Pre - Market Analysis (17th June 2020)

U.S Markets closed 3% higher Yesterday. Asian Markets are all in Green. SGX Nifty is down 50 Points and Trading near 9830 now. Yesterday the Markets were highly Volatile due to Indo - China border issue. In Market hours News Came that 3 Soldiers died. But Today Morning it's being Reported that almost 20 Soldiers died. There were many Casualties in China as well. I dont think this would go on further or there may be a War as both the Countries cannot afford a war. Already we are Fighting an invisible Enemy in the form of "Corona Virus". Index Heavyweights like Reliance , HDFC Twins Supported the Market Yesterday. Due to which we closed in a Bullish Tone. This isnt a Trending Market. This is a Swinging Market in which there are large swings on both sides with heavy Volatility. Sticking on to Trades for a longer timeframe might out to be very risky. Trading without a Hedge is calling for Trouble. FII's were net sellers again Yesterday. They are Unsual People....

Pre - Market Analysis (16th June 2020)

Indian Markets Witnessed a Massive Selling in the first half of Yesterdays Trading Session. Markets recovered from the lows in the Second half. Reason for this was Dow Futures as it was down 1000 Points Yesterday at one Point. U.S Markets closed Positive Yesterday. From Being 1000 Points down at Morning they closed Positive the next day. This shows the Volatility we are in. SGX Nifty is trading above 10k. This selling pressure in Yesterdays Market was because of FII'S. They have sold for more than ₹2500 Crores Yesterday. DII's are coming to the rescue. This is the reason markets are highly Volatile as money is shifting both hands. Reliance has broke & crossed it's Resistance of 1620 & is now at its fresh all time highs. FII's have a great holding in HDFC Twins and when they sell Pvt Banks fall. Yesterday Bank Nifty was down more than 900 Points at one point. This was due to selling Pressure of FII's. SGX Nifty is Trading Positive now so today we ...

Pre - Market Analysis (15th June 2020)

US markets closed a percent higher on Friday and recovered a bit of loss. Asian Markets are mostly flat with a Negative Bias. SGX Nifty is down 85 Points and Trading near 9825. Thursday Evening U.S Markets fell 7%. Nifty opened at 9550 but closed at the highest point of the day. Fantastic recovery and rally by our Markets in Spite of huge gap down open. This Shows there is Strength in the Markets. There is no panic selling as we Witnessed in the Month of March. Reliance has bagged another Investing for it's Jio Venture. Reliance remains a Long Term Recommendation and a must have stock in your Portfolio. AGR Telecom Case was Scheduled the Previous Thursday but there wasnt any verdict given ie , 11th June 2020. The Case Verdict is now Postponed to 18th June 2020 and is an Important event for our Markets. After Witnessing Big Rallies on Friday I expect our Markets to go for Consolidation. The Range would be from 9700 to 10100 on Nifty. Nifty might Consolidate in this range...

Pre - Market Analysis (11th June 2020)

US markets closed on a Flat Note Yesterday. Asian Markets are mostly Negative. Nasdaq closed above 10K for the first time & is not Trading at its all Time Highs. SGX Nifty is down 50 Points and Trading near 10100. Yesterdays Fed Event in U.S dint have much juice and became a Non Event for the Markets . Yesterday in between 3pm to 3.20 pm Nifty went up 100 Points and Bank Nifty went up 500 Points. This must have been due to Short Covering but the pace at which things are happening in this Market is Extraordinary now. This whole week Markets have been Highly Volatile. In Spite of such huge Volatility and ups and downs markets are Trading within the range itself. Nifty seemed like breaking 10k many times but Couldn't . Nor it's breaking on the up side. Expecting Markets to continue within this Range for some more time now. From last 2 Months , Markets have been Consolidating for first 3 weeks but giving a Breakout in this Final week. Expecting this Month to be the ...

Pre - Market Analysis (10th June 2020)

U.S markets were down a percent Yesterday. U.S Markets broke the Streak of continue 6 days gain Yesterday. Asian Markets are mostly Negative. SGX Nifty is up 20 Points & Trading near 10100. Indian Markets are Trading very Volatile from last few days. VIX up more than 30 & generally when this happens we witness Volatile moves. Yesterday both longs and shorts made money if they bought at proper levels. Markets after gapping up & Rallying could not break 10300 & started to crash. The Range is 10000 to 10300 but between this Range it's highly Volatile. Reliance fell from 1620 to 1540 in 2 days which also Couldn't Stablilise the Markets. We are in a sort of Correction phase. Nifty correcting 200-300 Points from here is probable. One needs to be sitting on their Toes to trade in such Markets as Volatility is massive. You can either take Volatility as your Advantage or either it can wipe you out. Markets are awaiting for FOMC ( Federal Open Market Committee...

Pre - Market Analysis (9th June 2020)

U.S Markets closed a Percent higher Yesterday. Asian Markets are Mixed with a Positive Bias. SGX Nifty is up 40 Points and Trading near 10220. U.S Markets are Nasdaq are now Trading near their all time high. Yesterday Nifty Witnessed a big Gap up at the open & was Consolidating for the first half but soon the selling resumed. It was not severe kind of selling which changes the Trend. It was just a minor profit booking. The Trend of the Market is still Positive but we may not go higher with the pace as we have done before. This will be a calm and collective upward journey and one needs to be very patient to ride it. After a huge rally of Nearly 1200 Points in about a week we are just Consolidating, buliding a base for a fresh rally. Corrections like Yesterday are important and keep the Market healthy. Markets should never go up or come down in a Straight line. FII's were net Buyers Yesterday but DII's were net sellers. DII's are Witnessing profit booking sinc...

Pre - Market Analysis ( 8th June 2020)

US markets were up 4% on the Back of Excellent Job Data. Previous Month Job Data showed 8 Million Jobs lost but this Month the data came Positive. However there is some debate that Numbers were Incorrect and 5 Million Numbers was reported wrongly. How U.S Futures react to this news is going to be Interesting. Asian markets are mostly Trading higher. SGX Nifty is higher and trading around 10240. Friday , Nifty Tried to break 10200 quite a few times but could not. 10200 is an Important level on Nifty because on the Nifty when lower circuit was Witnessed on Nifty and markets recovered , 10200 was the high on Nifty for that day. On Thursday the Supreme Court News Came that they are considering to allow Loan waiver for Businesses. Bank Nifty fell 500 Points on this news but on Friday Bank Nifty recovered 800 Points. This shows that the Momentum towards Upside and dips are being bought in the Market. Reliance has bagged Fresh Investments of more than 10,000 Crores again this week...

Bull Call Spread Options Strategy ( With Practical Example)

I Strongly believe , to be Successful in Stock Markets you Require two things : 1) Edge 2) Hedge Edge means having your own Trading System , following your own consensus & Conviction. Hedge is like an Insurance Policy , it will protect you from losing big and also maximise your earning potential over time without Destruction of your Capital. I will be Sharing one of the Hedging Strategy here. Example : Nifty on Friday (5th June) has closed around 10150. You are Bullish for this Weekly Expiry and what you to do is buy a Call Option of 10200 which is Trading around ₹120. Buying or selling naked Options involves high risk as its equal to betting. If you win you win Big or else you lose Everything. So buying naked Options isnt my Cup of Tea. What will I do in this Scenario? I would buy a 10200 CE (11th June Expiry ) at ₹120 and would sell a 10300 CE (11th June Expiry) at ₹80 to manage my risk. Now there are 3 Situations which can happen : 1) Nifty continues to rise: The 102...

Pre - Market Report (5th June 2020)

US markets closed on a Flat Note Yesterday. Asian Markets are also witnessing some Profit Booking after a Fantastic rally. SGX Nifty is 40 Points higher and Trading near 10050. Nasdaq hit an all time high Yesterday but closed lower by EOD. Yesterday some Unusual Thing Happened in Options Market. Bank Nifty Options for weekly Expiry were not showing the True prices. One tick was showing ₹60 and next tick ₹95 etc etc. Many BROKERS closed Market orders , many Bank Nifty Traders lost huge Yesterday. NSE is still Silent to this issue. They should come out & Admit this issue. Amidst all this , another Big news Came for Banking Stocks Yesterday. There was a Petition being filed in Supreme Court for waiver of interest for Businesses. Supreme Court was firm to waiver off the interest. RBI said ₹2 lakh Crore will be lost if interest is waived for Businesses. There seems to be a clash going on between SC & RBI now. After this news broke out all Banking Stocks started to fall. ...

Pre - Market Report (4th June 2020)

U.S Markets closed a Percent higher Yesterday. Asian markets are mostly positive and rallying as Economies all over the World are opening up. Indian Markets have caught up Significantly and now almost at par with World Markets. Bank Nifty was the Star of this Rally. It rallied more than 4500 Points in less than 7 trading Sessions. Markets are ignoring all the news which are being thrown to it right now. U.S - China Trade issues , Riots in America all are being ignored by the Markets and they are moving Independently. Major Big event for the Global Markets will be U.S elections. China will do Everything not to let Trump win & Trump will do Everything do defame China. Yesterdays last hour was Witnessed by Heavy Profit Booking. Bank Nifty fell 800 Points in less than an hour. Nifty fell 130 Points in the same period. FII's were net Buyers Yesterday and have bought more than 1800 Crores . DII's were Net Sellers Yesterday and sold about 700 Crores. 10000 CE has open ...

Pre - Market Report (3rd June 2020)

US markets closed a Percent higher Yesterday. Asian markets are all in Green. SGX Nifty at 10080. Nifty is up 12% in last 5 Trading Sessions. This is a Humongous Rally in Indian Stock Markets. This is a Global rally all over the World and we are also Participating in the same. We have now recovered more than 33% from the low of Corona Virus Crash. Bull markets climb the wall of worry. Everyone will be Surprised how swiftly the Markets keep racing ahead. Bull market begins when every Bull gives up the hope. Markets can continue to be irrational until you go bankrupt.  Now the Important Question until when will this Rally continue? I expect this Rally to last further. Those who are already carrying call Options can revise Stoploss to 9800 and keep holding. Those who havent entered yet can enter on minor dips. 10200 is the next Resistance level for Nifty. FII's have bought more than 1000 Crores Yesterday as well. We are in a Buy on Dips Market. Never think that Markets hav...

Pre - Market Report (2nd June 2020)

US markets closed 0.5% higher Yesterday. Asian markets are mostly Positive. U.S Futures are down after Trump Announcements for deploying more forces to control the Protestors. SGX Nifty is higher by 30 Points and Trading near 9800. This has been a big rally for our Markets. Nifty is up 10% in last 3 days and Bank Nifty is up 17% for the same period. Yesterday at one point, call options were trading at 1400% premium . India VIX too inched higher Yesterday. Still there are some people saying me that they are Shorting the Market on every rally. They will keep shorting until they go Bankrupt. From Centuries , people have been saying to follow the Trend. Trend is very very clear & thats on the upside. So please don't follow your OPINIONS. Follow the Trend. Earlier Nifty tested 10000 twice, so it is a double top. 10,000 should act as a Resistance for Nifty. The reason for this rally is big FII's buying. FII's sold more than 15,000 crore in the Month of May. In the...

Pre - Market Report (1st June 2020)

U.S Markets closed on a Flat Note on Friday. Asian markets are positive. China Manufacturing PMI ( Purchasing Managers Index)  data came above 50, which is a positive surprise. PMI above 50 Indicates that Economy is Expanding & Growing. SGX Nifty is up more than 150 Points due to this news. India , Slowly and Steadily is heading towards re - opening of Economy in a phased manner. Many Relaxations have been announced related to Business & Business man in Lockdown 5.0. Strange thing happened on Friday that Nifty Futures was Trading at 90 Points discount Compared to spot price throughout the day. Generally people are still excessively Bearish on Markets and each month they expect a big crash. But Bull Markets always climb wall of worries. I am Bullish on the Markets for June Month. Not excessively Bullish but Mindly Bullish. I've Taken a Ratio Spread/ Butterfly for June Expiry. Bought 10000 CE for June Expiry Month. Naked Option Buying is not my Cup of Tea as if my...