Skip to main content

Elections Volatility!! (13th May 2024)




1. U.S Markets closed higher yesterday.
2. U.S Markets are now rallying from 8 consecutive sessions.
3. Whereas our Markets are down for 7 consecutive sessions.
4. However , we recovered a bit on Friday.
5. 22000 was respected by the market but until how much time will it sustain is the main question. 
6. 22000 PE the highest open interest among Put options.
7. So far the Bulls have managed to defend this level.
8. This fall has resulted in many stocks going down 20-30%.
9. This is good for markets as a whole as it takes down excessive valuations , leverage and Euphoria from the markets 
10. Also earnings season has not gone according to liking.
11. Mid & Small caps have given good results but many large cap results have been sub par.
12. This is what is the problem
13. This fall reminds me of 2021 budget.
14. Before 2021 budget many were speculating Covid cess and markets were down.
15. Budget was normal as expected and markets rallied 1000 points in 2 days.
16. I feel this is what will happen post election.
17. It's a huge possibility that election results would be as per markets liking.
18. Going light before a big event is actually a positive thing.
19. Nifty might trade between 21800 to 22200 today.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

BJP Falls short of Majority (5th June 2024)

1.U.S Markets closed higher Yesterday  2. U.S Futures are trading higher now. 3. Asian markets are higher. 4. Global cues are positive currently. 5. U.S Markets have made a short term bottom and now have reversed. 6. Gift Nifty is up more than 100 Points. 7. Yesterday was a big surprise to everyone. 8. Contrary to the exit Poll , things have been changed dramatically.  9. Exit Polls indicated a cakewalk win for the BJP. 10. Reality of the Ground level was entirely different. 11. There is BJP Govt forming but with a Coilition Govt. 12. Coilition Govt changes many aspects. 13. Firstly , the Govt cannot take decisions on its own. 14. It has to get approval of other parties as well. 15. This would hamper the growth prospects and future plans. 16. Last 10 years , the Government had come with a simple majority. 17. They worked freely. 18. This is a way good for democracy 19. One Govt dominating is not good for the Country , now everyone has to work for welfare of Country. 20. Com

Global Shock !! (6th August 24)

1. U.S Markets closed lower YESTERDAY.  2. All the indices closed lower. 3. Right now , Dow Futures are higher. 4. Asian Markets are all higher. 5. All the Global Markets are Positive right now. 6. Last 3 days , there has been a flash crash in all the Global Markets. 7. There was a Mayhem specially in the Japanese Markets. 8. Japan had hiked the interest rate after 15 long years due to which their currency depreciated and it caused a 20,% fall in Japanese markets. 9. There are warnings of U.S recession post the Jobs data report. 10. Israel - Iran war has been taken escalation.  11. All these news have spooked the Global Markets.  12. U.S VIX jumped 400% in last 4 trading sessions. 13. India VIX jumped 50% Yesterday.  14. Although it doesn't impact us at all  , it's the nature of markets to react on news. 15. Right now , Nikkei the Japanese index has opened positive  16. 24000-23850 is a very strong and final support. 17. I expect yesterday's low to the low for A

Global Markets Mayhem !! (5th Aug 24)

1. U.S Markets closed lower on Friday. 2. All the indices closed lower. 3. Right now , Dow Futures are lower. 4. Asian Markets are all lower. 5. All the Global Markets are Negative today. 6. From Thursday to Monday Morning , U.S Markets have crashed more than 6%. 7. This is a terrible & an Alarming fall. 8. U.S VIX jumped another more than 20% on Friday. 9. This is the fearful data point. 10. Reason for all this is because of Geopolitical conflicts. 11. Iran - Israel tensions. 12. Japan currency depreciation etc. 13. All this is leading to a flash crash in the Markets. 14. 24500-24400 is a crutial support for nifty. 15. We are likely to open closer to these levels as per Gift Nifty. 16. First hour is the key today. 17. If we do not break the first hour low throughout the day then we might expect a reversal. 18. A further correction may be expected if the first hour low gets taken out. 19. Nifty might trade between 24300 to 24700 today. 20.  stockmarketadvisory.in